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Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 35.6 | $0.588 | $16.55 | -$4.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 26.6 | $0.570 | $15.16 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.5 |
| $0.630 |
| $11 |
| +$2.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.5 | $0.680 | $5.75 | -$0.71 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 20.2 | $0.384 | $4.95 | -$2.8 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 1 | $0.830 | $0.65 | -$0.19 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.6 | $0.990 | $0.6 | +$0.01 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.5 | $0.935 | $0.48 | +$0.01 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 0.43 | $0.950 | $0.43 | +$0.02 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 0.4 | $0.969 | $0.39 | +$0 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.749 | $0.36 | +$0.06 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.3 | $0.986 | $0.3 | +$0 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.27 | $0.990 | $0.27 | +$0 |
 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.25 | $0.991 | $0.25 | +$0 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 0.24 | $0.918 | $0.24 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.720 |
| $14.4 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.5 | $0.680 | $20.06 | 13d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | sell | 6.2 | $0.996 | $6.18 | 13d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?No | sell | 14.5 | $0.993 | $14.4 | 13d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?No | buy | 14.8 | $0.770 | $11.4 | 19d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 9.6 | $0.748 | $7.18 | 19d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.821 | $5.34 | 22d ago |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.995 | $0.49 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | sell | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | 22d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.8 | $0.630 | $6.8 | 25d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.630 | $6.93 | 25d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.630 | $5.48 | 25d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 25d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?No | sell | 14.2 | $0.968 | $13.75 | 25d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?No | buy | 14.47 | $0.870 | $12.59 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | buy | 15 | $0.820 | $12.3 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?No | sell | 26 | $0.952 | $24.75 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.749 | $7.49 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.752 | $5.26 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.950 | $5.32 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.266 | $3.19 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 15.07 | $0.174 | $2.62 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No | sell | 14 | $0.930 | $13.02 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15.3 | $0.341 | $5.22 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.216 | $1.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 0.6 | $0.826 | $0.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 3 | $0.782 | $2.35 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 7 | $0.937 | $6.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.580 | $8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 11.65 | $0.515 | $6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.149 | $1.49 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.372 | $3.35 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 12.75 | $0.510 | $6.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.558 | $6.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.341 | $4.43 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.43 | $0.084 | $0.96 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.23 | $0.660 | $8.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.590 | $3.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.101 | $21.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 33.6 | $0.967 | $32.49 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.969 | $27.13 | Jun 30, 2026 |