Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 645.08 | $0.030 | $19.35 | Mar 8, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 45.76 |
| $0.260 |
| $11.9 |
| Jan 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.021 | $12.18 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.12 | $0.060 | $9.67 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.033 | $52.07 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 72.57 | $0.130 | $9.43 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 692.14 | $0.014 | $9.69 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 510.36 | $0.019 | $9.7 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.019 | $20 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 65.4 | $0.025 | $1.63 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.260 | $11 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 802.28 | $0.025 | $20 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.080 | $6.67 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.290 | $9.67 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.090 | $6 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.006 | $0.17 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 380.8 | $0.996 | $379.28 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.07 | $0.994 | $26.91 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 380.81 | $0.262 | $99.96 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.07 | $0.622 | $16.84 | Nov 5, 2024 |