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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.868 | $1.07K | Mar 25, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 1.12K |
| $0.949 |
| $1.07K |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.880 | $987.78 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 987.78 | $0.860 | $849.49 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 849.5 | $0.896 | $761.15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 761.14 | $0.910 | $692.64 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | sell | 362.5 | $0.955 | $346.01 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 346.63 | $0.840 | $291.17 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 176.74 | $0.596 | $105.36 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 187.5 | $0.991 | $185.81 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 302.27 | $0.830 | $250.88 | May 16, 2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 187.5 | $0.880 | $165 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 92.08 | $0.543 | $50 | May 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 526.95 | $0.979 | $515.88 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 84.67 | $0.437 | $37 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 526.95 | $0.839 | $442.29 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 442.3 | $0.851 | $376.59 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 312.27 | $0.978 | $305.4 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 71.19 | $0.840 | $59.8 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 98.03 | $0.610 | $59.8 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 222.29 | $0.790 | $175.61 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 181.23 | $0.969 | $175.61 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.36 | $0.750 | $11.52 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Another actor announced as next James Bond actor?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.910 | $11.51 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 67.49 | $0.860 | $58.04 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.730 | $108.04 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.570 | $84.36 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes | buy | 27.45 | $0.840 | $23.06 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Another actor announced as next James Bond actor?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 98.59 | $0.710 | $70 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Nov 11, 2024 |