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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 133.74 | $0.230 | $30.76 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 95.23 |
| $0.040 |
| $3.81 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 168.43 | $0.160 | $26.95 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 77.59 | $0.873 | $67.74 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 730.38 | $0.093 | $67.73 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 730.38 | $0.501 | $365.87 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 388.4 | $0.942 | $365.87 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 388.4 | $0.956 | $371.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 68.43 | $0.670 | $45.85 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 176.35 | $0.260 | $45.85 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 197.5 | $0.720 | $142.2 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.820 | $200 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 176.36 | $0.278 | $49 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 253.16 | $0.870 | $220.25 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | sell | 270.27 | $0.040 | $10.86 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?Yes | buy | 160.09 | $0.890 | $142.48 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?No | buy | 22.26 | $0.310 | $6.9 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 50.77 | $0.650 | $33 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 51.88 | $0.636 | $33 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.150 | $33 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Ripple ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 194.23 | $0.515 | $100 | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Jan 11, 2025 |