Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:10 PM UTC.
Analytics
petehegseth has made $3.9K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 49 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:10 PM UTC.
$49.81 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 14 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | 9.7K | $0.359 | $3.98K | +$497.82 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 19?No | buy | 34.34 | $0.990 | $34 | 9h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 19:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 14:10 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 14:10 UTC
polymarket positions
50 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 19:43 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.72K and losing ones cost $3.52 across 49 settled positions. 95.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.07K on “Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.4 on “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 76 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.86K across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 12.72K |
| $0.233 |
| $3.12K |
| +$151.35 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 142.4K | $0.080 | $2.63K | -$8.8K |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 24.75K | $0.120 | $1.61K | -$1.36K |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 2.26K | $0.422 | $1.14K | +$187.14 |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.1K | $0.729 | $1.07K | +$268.86 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | No | 4.8K | $0.181 | $743.27 | -$126.84 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 3.62K | $0.187 | $561.65 | -$114.93 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.71K | $0.251 | $349.67 | -$77.94 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 221.86 | $0.560 | $125.35 | +$1.11 |
| Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 19? | No | 125.89 | $0.985 | $125.26 | +$1.26 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 466.18 | $0.174 | $86.24 | +$5.04 |
 Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 176.7 | $0.300 | $73.15 | +$20.14 |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 273.59 | $0.203 | $67.03 | +$11.42 |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 262 | $0.185 | $58.95 | +$10.56 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 4.93K | $0.006 | $29.58 | -$1.21 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | No | 48.83 | $0.635 | $27.83 | -$3.17 |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 333.5 | $0.070 | $21.68 | -$1.67 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 6K | $0.002 | $21 | +$9 |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 45 | $0.230 | $11.25 | +$0.9 |
 Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 20 | $0.230 | $3.93 | -$0.67 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | No | 48.4 | $0.692 | $1.65 | -$31.83 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 168 | $0.186 | $0.59 | -$30.73 |
| buy |
| 91.55 |
| $0.983 |
| $90 |
| 9h ago |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | 13h ago |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 262 | $0.185 | $48.39 | 13h ago |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | buy | 176.7 | $0.300 | $53.01 | 13h ago |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | buy | 303.59 | $0.203 | $61.71 | 13h ago |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.230 | $10.35 | 13h ago |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 13h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.729 | $800.03 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No | sell | 1K | $0.430 | $430 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.018 | $18.3 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 2.66K | $0.013 | $34.58 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 3.94K | $0.013 | $51.22 | 18h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.190 | $570 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 362.23 | $0.024 | $8.69 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | sell | 63.94 | $0.027 | $1.73 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.270 | $16.2 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?No | sell | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 360.67 | $0.270 | $97.38 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 10K | $0.025 | $250 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 13.89K | $0.043 | $597.34 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 6.11K | $0.043 | $262.66 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | sell | 600 | $0.065 | $39 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | sell | 1K | $0.061 | $61 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.049 | $71.95 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 31.55 | $0.049 | $1.55 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 11.28 | $0.049 | $0.55 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.049 | $0.26 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 26.86 | $0.049 | $1.32 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.049 | $0.26 | 1d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 1K | $0.055 | $55 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 3K | $0.057 | $171 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.060 | $87.61 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 39.79 | $0.060 | $2.39 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?No | buy | 2.6K | $0.130 | $337.87 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?No | buy | 2K | $0.130 | $260 | 1d ago |
 Kings vs. ClippersClippers | buy | 6.39 | $0.782 | $5 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 2.29K | $0.062 | $141.88 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | sell | 452.69 | $0.065 | $29.42 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 1K | $0.063 | $63 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 2K | $0.066 | $132 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.074 | $0.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.074 | $0.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.074 | $151.01 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.079 | $0.99 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.140 | $140 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 593.21 | $0.091 | $53.98 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 206.79 | $0.091 | $18.82 | 1d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.