Analytics
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 128 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-08-23); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
mar868 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,040,508 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of Sep 15, 12:19 PM the record shows -$1.61K observed lifetime PnL, $18.67K of traded volume, 105 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 82.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xd85432731fdfaf1f46c9f93f8c06aa249ad98ca0
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 91.09 | $0.540 | $49.19 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.643 | $32.15 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.385 | $19.25 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.710 | $21.3 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Nuggets vs. JazzJazz | sell | 243 | $0.043 | $10.48 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. JazzJazz | buy | 236.2 | $0.080 | $18.9 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. RocketsKnicks | buy | 367.86 | $0.510 | $187.61 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Celtics vs. HawksCeltics | buy | 354.61 | $0.480 | $170.21 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Nets vs. LakersNets | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Heat vs. CavaliersHeat | buy | 320 | $0.350 | $112 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. HornetsKnicks | buy | 407 | $0.490 | $199.43 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Thunder vs. CelticsThunder | buy | 346.6 | $0.580 | $201.03 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bucks vs. SunsSuns | buy | 54.2 | $0.440 | $23.85 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Jazz76ers | sell | 23.87 | $0.999 | $23.85 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Jazz76ers | buy | 23.87 | $0.530 | $12.65 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Clippers vs. MavericksClippers | sell | 12.66 | $0.999 | $12.65 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Clippers vs. MavericksClippers | buy | 12.66 | $0.770 | $9.75 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.81 | $0.994 | $9.75 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.81 | $0.995 | $9.76 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Magic vs. HawksMagic | buy | 178.02 | $0.500 | $89.01 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Kings vs. ClippersClippers | buy | 80 | $0.520 | $41.6 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Kings vs. ClippersClippers | buy | 6.47 | $0.660 | $4.27 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. LakersLakers | sell | 297 | $0.999 | $296.7 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. LakersLakers | sell | 33 | $0.620 | $20.46 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. LakersLakers | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Magic vs. HeatHeat | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 71.93 | $0.750 | $53.95 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. PacersKnicks | sell | 51.61 | $0.999 | $51.56 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. PistonsPistons | sell | 53.73 | $0.999 | $53.68 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 53.73 | $0.995 | $53.46 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. SpursSpurs | sell | 319.96 | $0.570 | $182.38 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. JazzKnicks | sell | 206.12 | $0.999 | $205.91 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. JazzKnicks | buy | 206.12 | $0.960 | $197.88 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. MagicCavaliers | buy | 291.62 | $0.599 | $174.68 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Celtics vs. SpursSpurs | sell | 327.18 | $0.999 | $326.85 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 56.63 | $0.991 | $56.12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.63 | $0.991 | $56.12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. ClippersClippers | sell | 56.18 | $0.999 | $56.12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. ClippersClippers | buy | 56.18 | $0.960 | $53.93 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Warriors vs. JazzWarriors | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Warriors vs. JazzWarriors | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Warriors vs. JazzWarriors | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. ThunderNuggets | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder | sell | 35.49 | $0.952 | $33.79 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Celtics vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 327.18 | $0.610 | $199.58 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Warriors vs. ThunderWarriors | buy | 40.94 | $0.149 | $6.09 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Nets vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 110.18 | $0.996 | $109.74 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Mavericks vs. CelticsMavericks | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.