Latest trade
Dec 31, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 4:30 AM UTC.
Analytics
michaelcas is down $138.57 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 9 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-12-31 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 31, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 4:30 AM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 32 trades covered 13 markets; 59.4% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2025 UTC to Dec 31, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-12-31 22:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 04:30 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
32 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 04:30 UTC
polymarket positions
10 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-12-31 22:47 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $84.21 and losing ones cost $23.84 across 9 settled positions. 77.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $28.28 on “Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?” (No); the largest loss, $23 on “Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 31 Dec 2025. It has traded 13 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 117.64 |
| $0.170 |
| $20 |
| Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?No | buy | 105.25 | $0.750 | $78.94 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?No | buy | 4.04K | $0.012 | $50 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 83.94 | $0.480 | $40.29 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 83.94 | $0.238 | $20 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
 Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Kings vs. ThunderKings | sell | 6 | $0.030 | $0.18 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Kings vs. ThunderKings | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.900 | $7.25 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | sell | 49.91 | $0.900 | $44.92 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | sell | 30.55 | $0.200 | $6.11 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?No | buy | 64.48 | $0.620 | $40 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Thunder vs. PacersThunder | sell | 71.42 | $0.430 | $30.71 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Thunder vs. PacersThunder | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Thunder vs. PacersPacers | sell | 10.5 | $0.750 | $7.88 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Thunder vs. PacersPacers | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Thunder vs. PacersPacers | buy | 20.5 | $0.400 | $8.2 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.740 | $25.52 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans | sell | 44.44 | $0.500 | $22.22 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.