Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München | buy | 37 | $0.780 | $28.86 | 4d ago |
 |
VanWarner is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #305,965 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$56.8 observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 54.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xd4ac621abad1c551025b0264320f8becce6d3590
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 17 |
| $0.500 |
| $8.5 |
| 11d ago |
 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 32.06 | $0.997 | $31.96 | 27d ago |
 Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBebop | buy | 54 | $0.630 | $34.02 | 27d ago |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 32.06 | $0.998 | $32 | 27d ago |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 62 | $0.410 | $25.42 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesWashington Mystics | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 46 | $0.998 | $45.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?Down | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 922.92 | $0.998 | $921.07 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on July 1?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 922.92 | $0.999 | $922 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on July 1?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 24?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Yes | sell | 885 | $0.001 | $0.89 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 877.87 | $0.998 | $876.11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 407.41 | $0.999 | $407 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 62.75 | $0.996 | $62.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No | sell | 221.25 | $0.998 | $220.81 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 470.47 | $0.999 | $470 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No | sell | 663.75 | $0.998 | $662.42 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 24?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 855 | $0.996 | $851.58 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 917.75 | $0.997 | $915 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No | buy | 25.8 | $0.630 | $16.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 675 | $0.002 | $1.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 675 | $0.997 | $672.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Spread: Germany (-1.5)Côte dIvoire | buy | 195 | $0.630 | $122.85 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?No | buy | 28.39 | $0.720 | $20.44 | May 23, 2026 |
 Thunder vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 33.4 | $0.520 | $17.37 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 39 | $0.992 | $38.69 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.007 | $0.27 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on April 13?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on April 13?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 52.1 | $0.997 | $51.94 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 52.1 | $0.998 | $52 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No | buy | 64.06 | $0.999 | $64 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.998 | $36.96 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.999 | $37 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.03 in December?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.999 | $13 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 31?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 28.08 | $0.996 | $27.97 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 28.08 | $0.997 | $28 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.10 on November 5?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.