Latest trade
Apr 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:32 PM UTC.
Analytics
Improbable-Day is down $46.13 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:32 PM UTC.
$10.83 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 52.0% were buys. They run from Mar 22, 2026 UTC to Apr 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonONIC | buy | 2.29 | $0.880 | $2.02 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-04 23:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 13:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 13:32 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-04 23:13 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $145.24 and losing ones cost $194.42 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $16.72 on “Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $30 on “Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season” (EVOS).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Apr 2026. It has traded 91 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 272.72 |
| $0.004 |
| $1.11 |
| Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.022 | $6 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.260 | $6.5 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?Yes | sell | 35.09 | $0.600 | $21.05 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 34.47 | $0.420 | $14.48 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?Yes | sell | 34.09 | $0.060 | $2.05 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes | sell | 43.24 | $0.999 | $43.2 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 43.24 | $0.740 | $32 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonEVOS | buy | 38.43 | $0.770 | $29.59 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonONIC | sell | 33.23 | $0.999 | $33.2 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Geek Fam ID (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonONIC | buy | 33.13 | $0.900 | $29.82 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs | sell | 22.39 | $0.999 | $22.37 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs | buy | 22.32 | $0.890 | $19.87 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | sell | 17.62 | $0.870 | $15.33 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 17.39 | $0.560 | $9.74 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Celtics vs. HeatCeltics | sell | 51.59 | $0.999 | $51.54 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Celtics vs. HeatCeltics | buy | 51.55 | $0.968 | $49.9 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. ClippersTrail Blazers | sell | 21.23 | $0.996 | $21.15 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. ClippersTrail Blazers | buy | 21.2 | $0.940 | $19.93 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. LakersLakers | sell | 23.15 | $0.998 | $23.1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. LakersLakers | buy | 23.06 | $0.860 | $19.83 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. MagicMagic | sell | 13.63 | $0.540 | $7.36 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. MagicMagic | buy | 13.52 | $0.727 | $9.84 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. MagicSuns | sell | 10.46 | $0.220 | $2.3 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. MagicSuns | buy | 10.3 | $0.470 | $4.84 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.180 | $1.64 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.040 | $0.33 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.190 | $3.02 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.320 | $1.5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonONIC | sell | 38.96 | $0.999 | $38.92 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Twisted Minds PH vs Aurora Gaming PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular SeasonAurora Gaming PH | sell | 11.17 | $0.999 | $11.16 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonONIC | sell | 16.54 | $0.999 | $16.52 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Twisted Minds PH vs Aurora Gaming PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular SeasonAurora Gaming PH | buy | 11.17 | $0.940 | $10.5 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonONIC | buy | 16.55 | $0.906 | $15 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonONIC | buy | 38.96 | $0.770 | $30 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?Yes | sell | 42.1 | $0.998 | $42.02 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Albania win on 2026-03-26?Yes | sell | 4.79 | $0.100 | $0.48 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?Yes | buy | 42.11 | $0.950 | $40 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Albania win on 2026-03-26?Yes | buy | 4.79 | $0.480 | $2.3 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.999 | $5.3 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.470 | $2.5 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Jazz76ers | sell | 12.98 | $0.540 | $7.01 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Jazz76ers | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.