Latest trade
Dec 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:54 AM UTC.
Analytics
onionsoup is down $545.31 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 3:54 AM UTC.
$268.4 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 8 markets; 42.0% were buys. They run from Nov 13, 2025 UTC to Dec 16, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 610 | $0.460 | $280.6 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-04 19:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 03:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 03:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-04 19:25 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $43.12 and losing ones cost $197.56 across the latest 50 settled positions. 26% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $13 on “No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $117 on “US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Dec 2025. It has traded 41 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 610 |
| $0.460 |
| $280.6 |
| Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
 US strike on Syria by December 31?No | sell | 566 | $0.800 | $452.8 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| US strike on Syria by December 31?No | sell | 44 | $0.800 | $35.2 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 610 | $0.800 | $488 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 610 | $0.470 | $286.7 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 610 | $0.470 | $286.7 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 37.17 | $0.830 | $30.85 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 54.29 | $0.830 | $45.06 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 518.54 | $0.830 | $430.39 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 610 | $0.830 | $506.3 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 610 | $0.440 | $268.4 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 610 | $0.440 | $268.4 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 610 | $0.460 | $280.6 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 610 | $0.460 | $280.6 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50.18 | $0.420 | $21.08 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 54.47 | $0.410 | $22.33 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 104.65 | $0.420 | $43.95 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 610 | $0.570 | $347.7 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 610 | $0.570 | $347.7 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.580 | $3.44 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 604.07 | $0.580 | $350.56 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 610 | $0.580 | $353.8 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 610 | $0.460 | $280.6 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 610 | $0.460 | $280.6 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 610 | $0.470 | $286.7 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 610 | $0.470 | $286.7 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 167.57 | $0.590 | $98.87 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.590 | $4.03 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 160.74 | $0.590 | $94.84 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 130.63 | $0.600 | $78.38 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 130.64 | $0.600 | $78.38 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 560 | $0.180 | $100.8 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 570 | $0.180 | $102.6 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 570 | $0.210 | $119.7 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 570 | $0.210 | $119.7 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 570 | $0.490 | $279.3 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 570 | $0.490 | $279.3 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.040 | $0.29 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.120 | $0.43 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 435.5 | $0.690 | $300.5 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 550 | $0.690 | $379.5 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 650 | $0.650 | $422.5 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 650 | $0.830 | $539.5 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 650 | $0.400 | $260 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.