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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 125 | $0.080 | $10.94 | +$0.94 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.215 | $10.77 | Feb 7, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 350 |
| $0.046 |
| $2.63 |
| -$13.48 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $2.2 | -$3.8 |
| buy |
| 222 |
| $0.046 |
| $10.21 |
| Jan 11, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 200.01 | $0.044 | $8.88 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?Yes | buy | 59.41 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 172.41 | $0.040 | $6.92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?Yes | buy | 170.45 | $0.044 | $7.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.051 | $15.34 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.01 | $0.069 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 98.03 | $0.067 | $6.53 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.051 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | sell | 60 | $0.140 | $8.4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.030 | $9 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 174.01 | $0.050 | $8.73 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 84.61 | $0.120 | $10.15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.250 | $11 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | sell | 40 | $0.290 | $11.6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.170 | $15.3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.042 | $8.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.98 | $0.040 | $0.96 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 23.99 | $0.041 | $0.98 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 60 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 72.9 | $0.069 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 84.62 | $0.130 | $11 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 174.02 | $0.043 | $7.4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.080 | $7.2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.003 | $7.52 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.008 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |