Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 252.36 | $0.021 | $5.34 | May 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 27.45 |
| $0.320 |
| $8.78 |
| May 2, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes | sell | 32.96 | $0.168 | $5.53 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.099 | $5.82 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.130 | $4.05 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 123.45 | $0.071 | $8.76 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.290 | $9.67 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes | sell | 53.33 | $0.326 | $17.37 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 321.43 | $0.008 | $2.57 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?No | buy | 82.12 | $0.053 | $4.32 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?Yes | buy | 86.61 | $0.070 | $6.06 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.250 | $11.36 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.350 | $11.67 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12?Yes | buy | 500.34 | $0.012 | $6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?No | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?Yes | buy | 39.45 | $0.507 | $20 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 252.37 | $0.059 | $15 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?No | sell | 133.53 | $0.022 | $2.88 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.240 | $26.67 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?No | sell | 49.98 | $0.930 | $46.48 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes | buy | 80.78 | $0.495 | $40 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?No | buy | 49.98 | $0.800 | $40 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.96 | $0.303 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.36 | $0.127 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?No | buy | 123.56 | $0.035 | $4.31 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.081 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.119 | $7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 241.38 | $0.029 | $7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 393.6 | $0.051 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |