Latest trade
Jan 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:00 AM UTC.
Analytics
mark81-5 is down $90.66 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 39 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:00 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Jan 10, 2026 UTC to Jan 30, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 40.91 | $0.008 | $0.33 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-01 07:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 04:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 04:00 UTC
polymarket positions
41 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-01 07:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $36.99 and losing ones cost $78.87 across 39 settled positions. 20.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $22.23 on “Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $26.94 on “Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 30 Jan 2026. It has traded 42 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 25.9 |
| $0.039 |
| $1.01 |
| Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?Yes | sell | 67.66 | $0.004 | $0.27 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.054 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.151 | $3.14 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.400 | $2.94 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.055 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.055 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.055 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.055 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5Over | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5Under | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.400 | $1.2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.945 | $5.6 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | sell | 0.83 | $0.960 | $0.8 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.960 | $0.96 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.960 | $2.15 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.270 | $3.68 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.14 | $0.620 | $1.94 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.93 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?Up | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 15.6 | $0.190 | $2.96 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.65 | $0.590 | $0.97 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?Up | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7AM ETUp | sell | 1.72 | $0.990 | $1.7 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7AM ETUp | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?Yes | buy | 67.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.