Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.230 | $0.72 | -$4.28 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.860 | $5.22 | 7d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 8.14 |
| $0.480 |
| $3.91 |
| 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.180 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.450 | $3.83 | 7d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.540 | $1.89 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.530 | $5.63 | 7d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.420 | $2.73 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.300 | $2.13 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.765 | $4.62 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.380 | $2.99 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.440 | $3.63 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.460 | $3.91 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.480 | $1.92 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.220 | $1.28 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.880 | $5.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.460 | $1.61 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.810 | $4.92 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.350 | $2.59 | May 30, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | May 30, 2026 |