Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 0.88 | $0.985 | $0.87 | +$0 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.101 | $0.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.74 |
| $0.042 |
| $0.02 |
| -$0.02 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.37 | $0.112 | $0.01 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 38 |
| $0.937 |
| $35.61 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 84.63 | $0.113 | $9.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.112 | $5.38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 65 | $0.430 | $27.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 102 | $0.430 | $43.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.963 | $43.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.963 | $43.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.899 | $31.47 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 48 | $0.910 | $43.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.550 | $13.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.550 | $13.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.013 | $0.42 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.013 | $0.68 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.014 | $1.18 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 46 | $0.957 | $44.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 46 | $0.958 | $44.07 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 45 | $0.970 | $43.65 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.969 | $43.61 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.021 | $0.92 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.974 | $43.83 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.974 | $43.83 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.978 | $44.01 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.950 | $39.9 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.920 | $38.64 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.956 | $42.06 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.190 | $8.93 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.964 | $39.52 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.985 | $22.66 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 23.88 | $0.985 | $23.52 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 109 | $0.410 | $44.69 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.995 | $16.92 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.39 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.590 | $8.26 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.592 | $16.58 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 19 | $0.960 | $18.24 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 19 | $0.967 | $18.37 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.718 | $18.67 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.943 | $18.86 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 20 | $0.936 | $18.72 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 19 | $0.977 | $18.56 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 19 | $0.973 | $18.49 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 19 | $0.972 | $18.47 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.828 | $7.45 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.027 | $0.57 | Jul 13, 2025 |