Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.112 | $0.09 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.925 | $21.28 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 24 |
| $0.919 |
| $22.06 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.900 | $24.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.900 | $24.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.810 | $17.82 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.820 | $18.04 | Jun 24, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.140 | $2.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.890 | $24.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.850 | $22.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.042 | $0.13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.880 | $21.12 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.880 | $14.08 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.280 | $5.04 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.056 | $3.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.580 | $20.88 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.570 | $20.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.310 | $9.92 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.938 | $26.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.350 | $11.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.890 | $29.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.440 | $32.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.440 | $32.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.890 | $32.04 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.983 | $32.44 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.983 | $32.44 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.964 | $32.78 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.964 | $32.78 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.280 | $2.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.500 | $28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.500 | $28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.813 | $32.52 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.808 | $32.32 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.300 | $10.5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.940 | $7.52 | May 27, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.930 | $7.44 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.280 | $17.36 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.6 | $0.310 | $17.24 | May 26, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.985 | $34.48 | May 25, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 17 | $0.623 | $10.59 | May 25, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.720 | $30.95 | May 25, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.870 | $31.32 | May 24, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.890 | $31.15 | May 23, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.830 | $34.03 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.944 | $31.15 | May 20, 2026 |