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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.750 | $4.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 7.04 |
| $0.700 |
| $4.93 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.808 | $4.99 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.600 | $9.83 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 40.84 | $0.199 | $8.13 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.910 | $9.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10.31 | $0.966 | $9.96 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | sell | 16.3 | $0.910 | $14.83 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.115 | $23 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.142 | $28.4 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 113.96 | $0.880 | $100.28 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 219.48 | $0.640 | $140.47 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.770 | $15 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No | sell | 110.52 | $0.930 | $102.78 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 26.46 | $0.189 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.880 | $1.01 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 14.34 | $0.200 | $2.87 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |