Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 174 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 12 Jul 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 80.5% on 11 Jul 2026. $1.2M traded over the market's life.

566 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 10:14 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 174 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 12 Jul 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	364.8K
123abc	No	61.64K
su281	No	5.39K

Rules

How this market was settled

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.