Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.033 | $43.95 | Feb 21, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 8.78K |
| $0.005 |
| $43.92 |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.28K | $0.006 | $37.7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.29K | $0.006 | $37.72 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 98.57 | $0.070 | $6.9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5K | $0.008 | $100 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.060 | $100 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.070 | $75 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 773 | $0.150 | $115.95 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.77K | $0.150 | $265.97 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 542.86 | $0.070 | $38 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.019 | $38 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.003 | $8.75 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.014 | $14 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 810 | $0.006 | $4.86 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 787.5 | $0.080 | $63 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.080 | $4.88 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.229 | $4.88 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 154.88 | $0.080 | $12.39 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 2.23K | $0.006 | $13.38 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.095 | $7.92 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 224.59 | $0.037 | $8.31 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 169.95 | $0.049 | $8.31 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 286.97 | $0.033 | $9.47 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.300 | $9.38 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.450 | $9.57 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.260 | $9.63 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 169.96 | $0.047 | $8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.330 | $4.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.540 | $9.64 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.190 | $10.45 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |