Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jan 2026.
$346.73K traded over the market's life.
120 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 31 Jan 2026, chart shows 68%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Derevensky | No | 15K |
| aaaa1123 | No | 6K |
| Iguanagreg | No | 3K |
| jijaeblan | No | 2.84K |
| kiang5 | No | 2.6K |
| Known-Progress | No | 2K |
| Overlooked-Melody | No | 1.48K |
| Boobom | No | 1.12K |
| Violet Raven 16EC | No | 1K |
| Lunar Vector 1342 | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night
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