Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 640.46 | $0.005 | $3.4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.66 |
| $0.331 |
| $6.18 |
| Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.470 | $10.07 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 15.18 | $0.710 | $10.78 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.500 | $11.11 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.860 | $11.46 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 16.43 | $0.699 | $11.48 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.690 | $11.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.01 | $0.777 | $11.66 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 14.81 | $0.780 | $11.55 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz | sell | 16 | $0.730 | $11.68 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes | sell | 15.18 | $0.760 | $11.54 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 13.63 | $0.860 | $11.72 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 12.9 | $0.910 | $11.74 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.17 | $0.968 | $11.78 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | sell | 13.76 | $0.851 | $11.71 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 16.21 | $0.730 | $11.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 23.52 | $0.500 | $11.76 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.64 | $0.520 | $11.77 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 21.42 | $0.550 | $11.78 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 19.35 | $0.610 | $11.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.620 | $11.63 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 17.91 | $0.660 | $11.82 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks | sell | 17.39 | $0.680 | $11.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 14.81 | $0.800 | $11.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 12.22 | $0.971 | $11.87 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 14.45 | $0.820 | $11.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 14.11 | $0.840 | $11.85 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?No | sell | 12.07 | $0.988 | $11.93 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.774 | $11.91 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?No | sell | 12.48 | $0.955 | $11.92 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 12.26 | $0.973 | $11.93 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12.2 | $0.978 | $11.93 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.01 | $0.992 | $11.91 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | sell | 12.53 | $0.953 | $11.94 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 12.01 | $0.992 | $11.91 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 12.03 | $0.994 | $11.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 12.38 | $0.965 | $11.95 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes | sell | 12.14 | $0.985 | $11.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 12.12 | $0.987 | $11.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 12.01 | $0.997 | $11.97 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | sell | 12.01 | $0.996 | $11.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | sell | 12.08 | $0.991 | $11.97 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | sell | 12.02 | $0.996 | $11.97 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?No | sell | 12.03 | $0.996 | $11.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 12.01 | $0.996 | $11.96 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | sell | 12.01 | $0.997 | $11.97 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 17.51 | $0.684 | $11.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 13.08 | $0.915 | $11.97 | Jan 31, 2026 |