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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 12.25 | $0.996 | $12.19 | -$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.996 | $12.2 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.22 |
| $0.320 |
| $1.71 |
| -$0.28 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 525 | $0.002 | $0.79 | -$0.26 |
| buy |
| 525 |
| $0.002 |
| $1.05 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.320 | $1.99 | 3d ago |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?No | buy | 15.42 | $0.999 | $15.4 | 22d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.42 | $0.999 | $15.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 75.38 | $0.999 | $75.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?No | buy | 75.28 | $0.999 | $75.2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 75.18 | $0.999 | $75.1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 75.18 | $0.999 | $75.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?Yes | buy | 75.08 | $0.999 | $75 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 74.97 | $0.999 | $74.9 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 74.97 | $0.999 | $74.9 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 74.87 | $0.999 | $74.8 | May 8, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 74.77 | $0.999 | $74.7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?No | buy | 74.75 | $0.999 | $74.68 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20?No | buy | 74.68 | $0.998 | $74.53 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15?No | buy | 74.54 | $0.999 | $74.47 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 6?No | buy | 74.47 | $0.999 | $74.4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6?No | buy | 646.5 | $0.002 | $1.29 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 31?No | buy | 75.91 | $0.999 | $75.84 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?No | buy | 75.85 | $0.999 | $75.77 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.999 | $75.69 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 9?No | buy | 75.7 | $0.999 | $75.62 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 75.62 | $0.999 | $75.54 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 4?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 1?No | buy | 76.94 | $0.998 | $76.79 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?No | buy | 76.78 | $0.998 | $76.63 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 76.63 | $0.998 | $76.48 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.25 | $0.899 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 14?No | buy | 96.48 | $0.999 | $96.38 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 96.39 | $0.999 | $96.29 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 97.69 | $0.999 | $97.59 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 26?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 19?No | buy | 97.5 | $0.999 | $97.4 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.999 | $1.31 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 12?Yes | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 55.11 | $0.998 | $55 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 11?No | buy | 66.11 | $0.999 | $66.04 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 31.06 | $0.998 | $31 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 31.06 | $0.998 | $31 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 5?No | buy | 22.92 | $0.998 | $22.87 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Heat vs. MagicMagic | buy | 8.13 | $0.640 | $5.2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 19?No | buy | 24.67 | $0.999 | $24.65 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 20?Yes | buy | 206.74 | $0.005 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 17?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.999 | $1.15 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 26.02 | $0.999 | $25.99 | Nov 2, 2025 |