Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 20.77 | $0.963 | $20.47 | +$0.47 |
 Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 80.97 | $0.988 | $80 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 15.43 |
| $0.972 |
| $15.19 |
| +$0.19 |
| buy |
| 15.77 |
| $0.951 |
| $15 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 20.77 | $0.963 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 5% and 6%?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.810 | $9 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.990 | $15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 9.33 | $0.965 | $9 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.987 | $8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.972 | $15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 13.88 | $0.980 | $13.6 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.969 | $10.7 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No | buy | 14.11 | $0.992 | $14 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 22.88 | $0.931 | $21.3 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No | buy | 14.65 | $0.942 | $13.8 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 13.31 | $0.954 | $12.7 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 11.44 | $0.988 | $11.3 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 15.35 | $0.977 | $15 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.996 | $12 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.980 | $15 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.950 | $13 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.980 | $11 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | sell | 20.06 | $0.992 | $19.9 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 23.54 | $0.994 | $23.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?No | buy | 23.09 | $0.970 | $22.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.960 | $18 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.840 | $14.3 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.980 | $14 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?No | buy | 26.13 | $0.995 | $26 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 21.97 | $0.950 | $20.87 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by October 31?No | buy | 18.51 | $0.994 | $18.4 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 43.98 | $0.971 | $42.7 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 22.78 | $0.970 | $22.1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.876 | $24 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 23.19 | $0.992 | $23 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | sell | 49.78 | $0.963 | $47.94 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Avail airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 104.22 | $0.979 | $102.03 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 49.78 | $0.920 | $45.8 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July?No | buy | 146.69 | $0.996 | $146.1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Wydad AC win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 146.11 | $0.999 | $145.96 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 31?Yes | buy | 145.96 | $0.994 | $145.08 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?No | buy | 131.87 | $0.997 | $131.47 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Vladimir Putin attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | buy | 131.47 | $0.999 | $131.34 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?No | buy | 76.06 | $0.983 | $74.77 | Mar 1, 2025 |