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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.972 | $1.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.64 |
| $0.840 |
| $1.38 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.900 | $1.48 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.945 | $1.35 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.900 | $1.29 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.310 | $1.04 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.988 | $1.08 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.320 | $1.08 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.740 | $0.95 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.830 | $1.07 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.930 | $1.46 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| buy | 2.63 | $0.937 | $2.46 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.620 | $1.65 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.960 | $1.05 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.530 | $1.41 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.976 | $1.37 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.890 | $1.4 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.965 | $1.03 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.966 | $1.04 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.980 | $1.38 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Ryan Reynolds be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.993 | $1.38 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Ryan Reynolds be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.997 | $1.39 | Oct 21, 2025 |