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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.951 | $38.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 41 |
| $0.941 |
| $38.58 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.350 | $9.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.480 | $12.48 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.013 | $0.83 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.938 | $43.15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.938 | $43.15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.810 | $21.87 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.810 | $42.93 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.009 | $0.47 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 20–27?No | buy | 19 | $0.988 | $18.77 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 19 | $0.955 | $18.15 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 12 | $0.960 | $11.52 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.958 | $7.57 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.007 | $0.25 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | sell | 21 | $0.985 | $20.69 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 21 | $0.955 | $20.06 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 22 | $0.938 | $20.64 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.973 | $20.43 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 27 | $0.751 | $20.28 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.980 | $20.58 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?No | sell | 21 | $0.980 | $20.58 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Mia Farrow win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.036 | $2.23 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman buy TikTok?No | buy | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Mia Farrow win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.035 | $1.96 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 5 | $0.915 | $4.58 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 6 | $0.672 | $4.03 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?No | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.007 | $0.43 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.016 | $1.01 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.017 | $0.71 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.346 | $3.81 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.318 | $23.85 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.020 | $1.08 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 21 | $0.972 | $20.41 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Gonzaga vs. San FranciscoGonzaga | buy | 11 | $0.800 | $8.8 | Mar 2, 2025 |