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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?No | sell | 110 | $0.090 | $9.9 | 23d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 508 |
| $0.911 |
| $462.79 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 513 | $0.920 | $471.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 485.99 | $0.970 | $471.41 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 485.99 | $0.970 | $471.41 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?No | sell | 489 | $0.965 | $471.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?No | buy | 489 | $0.965 | $471.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 734 | $0.037 | $27.16 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?Yes | sell | 722 | $0.019 | $13.72 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 735 | $0.035 | $25.73 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes | sell | 353 | $0.895 | $315.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes | buy | 353 | $0.902 | $318.41 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 352 | $0.930 | $327.36 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over | buy | 20.29 | $0.920 | $18.67 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 340.97 | $0.920 | $313.69 | Jun 12, 2026 |