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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.59 | $0.954 | $0.58 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.110 | $4.95 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 45 |
| $0.110 |
| $4.95 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 39 | $0.972 | $37.91 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 39 | $0.968 | $37.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 78 | $0.480 | $37.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 78 | $0.470 | $36.66 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.360 | $30.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.340 | $16.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.943 | $37.72 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.045 | $3.82 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.080 | $6.24 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 3 | $0.953 | $2.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 41 | $0.953 | $39.07 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 44 | $0.943 | $41.49 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.824 | $41.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.829 | $41.45 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.939 | $41.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 81 | $0.190 | $15.39 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.987 | $36.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.860 | $40.42 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.860 | $40.42 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.220 | $1.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.903 | $31.61 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.340 | $6.46 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.550 | $37.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.240 | $7.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.740 | $13.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.550 | $26.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.570 | $39.33 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.954 | $42.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.020 | $0.58 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.031 | $1.18 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.039 | $1.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.94 | $0.430 | $22.33 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 46 | $0.936 | $43.06 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.947 | $43.56 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.884 | $42.43 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.956 | $42.06 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.021 | $1.32 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.027 | $1.7 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.328 | $13.11 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.333 | $16.33 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.361 | $29.6 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 14 | $0.961 | $13.45 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.046 | $3.13 | May 21, 2026 |