Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 1 | $0.042 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.970 | $36.86 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 61 |
| $0.950 |
| $57.95 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.907 | $50.79 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.860 | $49.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.810 | $29.16 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 55 | $0.920 | $50.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.830 | $24.07 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.056 | $4.65 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.056 | $0.17 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 78 | $0.036 | $2.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.985 | $26.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.018 | $0.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.018 | $1.22 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.041 | $1.31 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.964 | $50.13 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.720 | $12.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.710 | $13.49 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.039 | $1.09 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.040 | $0.36 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 29.53 | $0.042 | $1.24 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 19 | $0.964 | $18.32 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 19 | $0.968 | $18.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.490 | $3.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 79 | $0.520 | $41.08 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 47 | $0.974 | $45.78 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.974 | $45.78 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 3 | $0.955 | $2.86 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.770 | $36.96 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 65 | $0.748 | $48.62 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.128 | $0.51 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 5 | $0.908 | $4.54 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.025 | $0.45 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 19 | $0.941 | $17.88 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 19 | $0.941 | $17.88 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.592 | $10.66 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 91°F or higher on August 5?No | buy | 6 | $0.994 | $5.96 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 42 | $0.985 | $41.37 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 42 | $0.985 | $41.37 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 46 | $0.993 | $45.68 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 52 | $0.975 | $50.7 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 20 | $0.199 | $3.98 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11 | $0.918 | $10.1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes | sell | 89.69 | $0.115 | $10.31 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 52 | $0.983 | $51.12 | Aug 1, 2025 |