Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 728.55 | $0.347 | $103.09 | -$150.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.04K | $0.165 | $500 | Feb 9, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 526.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $41.84 |
| -$58.16 |
| buy |
| 3.17K |
| $0.158 |
| $500 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.42K | $0.146 | $500 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?Up | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 255.54 | $0.391 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 27.3 | $0.733 | $20 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 267.37 | $0.374 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 209.1 | $0.478 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 65.2 | $0.300 | $19.56 | Feb 5, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 234.67 | $0.002 | $0.47 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 208.77 | $0.479 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 251.57 | $0.397 | $100 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Yes | buy | 760.14 | $0.132 | $100 | Nov 28, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 502.58 | $0.398 | $200 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | sell | 259.74 | $0.986 | $256.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.934 | $280.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Yes | sell | 507 | $0.013 | $6.59 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.984 | $492 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 30.06 | $0.630 | $18.94 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?No | sell | 114.97 | $0.962 | $110.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.270 | $1.89 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.469 | $28.14 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | buy | 682.38 | $0.147 | $100 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 446.4 | $0.670 | $299.09 | Oct 20, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 246.91 | $0.930 | $229.63 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | sell | 138.7 | $0.780 | $108.19 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 496.61 | $0.013 | $6.38 | Oct 20, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.908 | $122.67 | Oct 20, 2025 |
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 234.67 | $0.426 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Yes | buy | 507 | $0.197 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Sep 22, 2025 |