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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 7.29 | $0.823 | $6.77 | +$0.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.48 |
| $0.670 |
| $4.1 |
| +$1.1 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | No | 3.11 | $0.643 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.1 | $0.906 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.72 | $0.269 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 4.04 | $0.743 | $0.13 | -$2.87 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%? | Yes | 16.77 | $0.060 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 16.77 |
| $0.060 |
| $1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.643 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.823 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.513 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.872 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.906 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |