Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 503.96 | $0.117 | $63 | +$4.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.019 | $4.75 | 10m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.24K |
| $0.017 |
| $59.96 |
| +$4.45 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 596.94 | $0.088 | $42.68 | -$9.92 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 103.85 | $0.380 | $41.02 | +$1.58 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 174.02 | $0.575 | $33.59 | -$66.41 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.270 | $13.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 279.09 | $0.107 | $12.56 | -$17.44 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 97.92 | $0.204 | $10.77 | -$9.23 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 310 | $0.060 | $9.46 | -$9.15 |
 Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $8.82 | -$1.18 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.310 | $8.5 | -$22.5 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 322.84 | $0.093 | $7.75 | -$22.25 |
 Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5.36 | +$0.36 |
 Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026? | No | 125 | $0.225 | $0.38 | -$27.72 |
| buy |
| 1.02K |
| $0.017 |
| $17.39 |
| 11m ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.017 | $32.28 | 12m ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 67.87 | $0.016 | $1.09 | 12m ago |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | 1d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | sell | 1.33 | $0.770 | $1.02 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | sell | 3.57 | $0.110 | $0.39 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | sell | 12.82 | $0.610 | $7.82 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp | sell | 19.6 | $0.900 | $17.64 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | sell | 19.6 | $0.140 | $2.74 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11PM ETUp | sell | 8.62 | $0.350 | $3.02 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11PM ETUp | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETUp | sell | 1.04 | $0.990 | $1.03 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETDown | sell | 2.08 | $0.830 | $1.73 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETDown | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | sell | 1.92 | $0.850 | $1.63 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | sell | 1.66 | $0.800 | $1.33 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.08 | $0.375 | $27.44 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 3d ago |