Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.18 | $0.480 | $0.16 | +$0.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.08 | $0.078 | $5.47 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 34 |
| $0.130 |
| $4.42 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.130 | $4.42 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.975 | $28.28 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 36 | $0.870 | $31.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 36 | $0.870 | $31.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.946 | $31.22 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.949 | $31.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 34 | $0.920 | $31.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 34 | $0.920 | $31.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 3 | $0.860 | $2.58 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.860 | $31.82 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 38 | $0.840 | $31.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.080 | $1.76 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 72 | $0.130 | $9.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 37 | $0.957 | $35.41 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 37 | $0.955 | $35.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.966 | $34.78 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.963 | $31.78 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.774 | $34.06 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.776 | $34.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.938 | $31.89 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.938 | $15.01 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.973 | $32.11 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.971 | $32.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 56 | $0.630 | $35.28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 56 | $0.630 | $35.28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.972 | $35.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.400 | $14.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.530 | $30.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.530 | $36.04 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.988 | $28.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.988 | $35.57 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.985 | $36.45 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.985 | $36.45 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.550 | $33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 38 | $0.955 | $36.29 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.480 | $36 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.480 | $36 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.043 | $1.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.018 | $1.33 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.510 | $32.13 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.750 | $21.75 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.750 | $21.75 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 35 | $0.990 | $34.65 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 35 | $0.988 | $34.58 | May 29, 2026 |