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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.590 | $25.37 | May 26, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 23 |
| $0.982 |
| $22.59 |
| May 26, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.976 | $10.74 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.978 | $22.49 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.982 | $22.59 | May 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.730 | $16.06 | May 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.690 | $15.18 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.961 | $21.14 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.490 | $24.01 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.500 | $24.5 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.430 | $28.38 | May 21, 2026 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.951 | $17.12 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.957 | $17.23 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.950 | $1.8 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | May 13, 2025 |
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?No | sell | 16 | $0.916 | $14.66 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No | sell | 16 | $0.995 | $15.92 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No | buy | 16 | $0.992 | $15.87 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?No | sell | 16 | $0.983 | $15.73 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?No | buy | 16 | $0.985 | $15.76 | May 8, 2025 |
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.037 | $2.26 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.989 | $13.85 | May 7, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.990 | $1.44 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 8.71 | $0.806 | $7.02 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.891 | $12.47 | Apr 6, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.896 | $12.54 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 13 | $0.982 | $12.77 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Solana above $130 on April 4?No | sell | 14 | $0.994 | $13.92 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Solana above $130 on April 4?No | buy | 14 | $0.993 | $13.9 | Apr 3, 2025 |
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?No | sell | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Apr 3, 2025 |
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?No | buy | 15 | $0.955 | $14.33 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?No | buy | 14 | $0.957 | $13.4 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 15 | $0.854 | $12.81 | Mar 18, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 15 | $0.859 | $12.89 | Mar 8, 2025 |