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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 93.18 | $0.880 | $77.34 | -$4.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?Yes | buy | 435.05 | $0.205 | $89 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 |
| No |
| 58.51 |
| $0.940 |
| $54.71 |
| -$0.29 |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | Yes | 70.92 | $0.536 | $4.61 | -$33.39 |
| buy |
| 159.29 |
| $0.370 |
| $58.94 |
| Dec 3, 2025 |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Yes | buy | 70.92 | $0.536 | $38 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 59.57 | $0.940 | $56 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No | buy | 58.51 | $0.940 | $55 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.18 | $0.880 | $82 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 138.22 | $0.723 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?No | buy | 33.39 | $0.988 | $33 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?No | buy | 41.54 | $0.987 | $41 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7% in November?No | buy | 44.04 | $0.999 | $44 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?No | buy | 32.1 | $0.997 | $32 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.018 | $47 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 81.06 | $0.518 | $42 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 62.52 | $0.640 | $40 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.057 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | buy | 43.04 | $0.790 | $34 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 40.38 | $0.941 | $38 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.57 | $0.826 | $36 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.040 | $49 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 36.83 | $0.896 | $33 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 73.23 | $0.656 | $48 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 38.5 | $0.987 | $38 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.022 | $45 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 284.62 | $0.130 | $37 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 103.09 | $0.495 | $51 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 231.58 | $0.190 | $44 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.030 | $50 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 251.5 | $0.199 | $50 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.033 | $43 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 72.22 | $0.900 | $65 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Yes | buy | 444.77 | $0.088 | $39 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 19.5K | $0.002 | $39 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.028 | $40 | Dec 3, 2025 |