Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
chaoxin is down $84.8 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:19 PM UTC.
$13.12 median trade
Its latest 37 trades covered 37 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Feb 2, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 4.59 | $0.993 | $4.5 | -$0.06 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes | buy | 4.59 | $0.993 | $4.56 | 7d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-16 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
37 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:19 UTC
polymarket positions
22 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-16 06:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $151.37 and losing ones cost $91.7 across 21 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $23.2 on “Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $18.98 on “Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 36 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.5 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 4.98 |
| $0.660 |
| $3.29 |
| 25d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.910 | $6.69 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 10.47 | $0.976 | $10.22 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.870 | $6.22 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Yes | buy | 12.59 | $0.510 | $6.42 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 18.66 | $0.320 | $5.97 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes | buy | 42.6 | $0.099 | $4.21 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes | buy | 86.42 | $0.067 | $5.79 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes | buy | 83.47 | $0.063 | $5.29 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 181.8 | $0.050 | $9.09 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 89.86 | $0.220 | $19.77 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 177.11 | $0.090 | $15.94 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No | buy | 62.52 | $0.900 | $56.27 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.77 | $0.310 | $16.67 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 106.8 | $0.076 | $8.17 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 37.52 | $0.890 | $33.39 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 48.5 | $0.320 | $15.52 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 68.45 | $0.860 | $58.87 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.24 | $0.170 | $11.43 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-19?No | buy | 44.6 | $0.520 | $23.19 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 42.63 | $0.780 | $33.25 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.2 | $0.150 | $16.53 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.17 | $0.440 | $18.12 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 28.76 | $0.660 | $18.98 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.250 | $9.75 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Heat vs. CavaliersHeat | buy | 35.26 | $0.430 | $15.16 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Avalanche vs. CapitalsAvalanche | buy | 28.95 | $0.610 | $17.66 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Hawks vs. MavericksHawks | buy | 29.49 | $0.760 | $22.41 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Grizzlies vs. NetsNets | buy | 26.01 | $0.469 | $12.2 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Celtics vs. BucksCeltics | buy | 17.49 | $0.750 | $13.12 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 20.98 | $0.890 | $18.67 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Jazz vs. RocketsJazz | buy | 29.14 | $0.140 | $4.08 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Jazz vs. GrizzliesJazz | buy | 31.93 | $0.460 | $14.69 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Mavericks vs. LakersLakers | buy | 23.66 | $0.740 | $17.51 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. PistonsKnicks | buy | 16.98 | $0.530 | $9 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Clippers76ers | buy | 24.89 | $0.450 | $11.2 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.