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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.540 | $1.19 | Apr 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.2 |
| $0.500 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.400 | $1.29 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.340 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.310 | $0.54 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.740 | $1.12 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.730 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.640 | $1.06 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.660 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.660 | $1.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.680 | $1.19 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.680 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.651 | $1.19 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.600 | $1.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.740 | $1.09 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.750 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo | sell | 3.66 | $0.280 | $1.02 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 1.9 | $0.580 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo | buy | 3.67 | $0.300 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.470 | $1.01 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.510 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.750 | $1.31 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.720 | $1.25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.590 | $1.3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.480 | $1.02 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.44 | $0.510 | $1.24 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.710 | $1.04 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.750 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.570 | $1.12 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Pacers vs. JazzJazz | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.550 | $1.08 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.540 | $1.06 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.370 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |