Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 160.42 | $0.218 | $23.26 | -$11.74 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.400 |
| $3.38 |
| -$6.63 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 55.7 | $0.269 | $3.06 | -$11.94 |
| buy |
| 93.75 |
| $0.160 |
| $15 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes | buy | 10.58 | $0.472 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.420 | $6.17 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 37.15 | $0.673 | $25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.15 | $0.060 | $0.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.295 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 36.41 | $0.996 | $36.26 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 24.59 | $0.996 | $24.49 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.002 | $0 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.001 | $0 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.998 | $1.06 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Pilot" or "Crew" or "Staff" 5+ times during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bridge" during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.998 | $1.28 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.991 | $1.32 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Equipment" during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.998 | $1.33 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.998 | $1.42 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Pilot" or "Crew" or "Staff" 5+ times during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Equipment" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bridge" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 21.64 | $0.200 | $4.33 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.984 | $16.96 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.170 | $3.54 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 5.4 | $0.550 | $2.97 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.59 | $0.610 | $15 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 67.41 | $0.982 | $66.2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 67.42 | $0.890 | $60 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.740 | $15.41 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.87 | $0.200 | $1.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |