Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:29 AM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Falcon 50FA has made $3.41 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:29 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 19, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | No | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.208 | $1 | 10h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 00:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 06:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 06:29 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 00:24 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $41.02 and losing ones cost $42.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.43 on “Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.53 on “Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 21 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 90 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.92 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.04 |
| $0.490 |
| $0.98 |
| -$0.02 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 4.81 | $0.208 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $1 |
| 19h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?Up | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 4d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Up | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 5d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 8d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?Down | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 8d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?Down | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 13d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8?Down | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 13d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?Down | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 19d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?Up | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 20d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?Down | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 20d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 1?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 25d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?Up | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Yes | buy | 4.97 | $0.300 | $1.49 | 27d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.460 | $1.49 | 28d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.260 | $1.49 | 28d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.490 | $1.49 | 28d ago |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.540 | $1.49 | 29d ago |
| Will Cracker Barrel say "Tailwind" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.440 | $1.49 | 29d ago |
 Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.430 | $1.49 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.350 | $1.49 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.780 | $1.39 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.590 | $1.49 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.440 | $1.49 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.270 | $1.49 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.640 | $1.49 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.370 | $1.49 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 107 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.