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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 5.9 | $0.300 | $1.77 | Jul 28, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 4.93 |
| $0.203 |
| $1 |
| Jul 28, 2025 |
OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Jul 28, 2025 |
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | sell | 9.52 | $0.720 | $6.85 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.420 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |