Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.63 | $0.957 | $0.62 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.890 | $4.63 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 31 |
| $0.860 |
| $26.66 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 26 | $0.850 | $22.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.936 | $46.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.080 | $0.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.080 | $10.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.730 | $54.75 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 75 | $0.720 | $54 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.013 | $0.29 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.015 | $2.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 153 | $0.043 | $6.58 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.043 | $6.58 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.056 | $1.34 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.063 | $2.33 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 77 | $0.710 | $54.67 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.919 | $1.84 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 31 | $0.960 | $29.76 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 186 | $0.010 | $1.86 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.011 | $2.05 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.710 | $53.25 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 75 | $0.670 | $50.25 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.042 | $3.11 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.190 | $15.39 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?No | sell | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?No | buy | 49 | $0.800 | $39.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?No | sell | 42 | $0.700 | $29.4 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?No | sell | 14 | $0.700 | $9.8 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.137 | $2.19 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.137 | $0.96 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.034 | $0.2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.034 | $0.24 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.036 | $1.19 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 5 | $0.948 | $4.74 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.078 | $2.81 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.976 | $4.88 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Aug 20, 2025 |