Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.640 | $5.76 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.190 |
| $3.8 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 43.63 | $0.560 | $24.44 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.540 | $5.23 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 85.27 | $0.530 | $45.19 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.480 | $4.65 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 42.65 | $0.550 | $23.46 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.530 | $5.14 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 21.31 | $0.520 | $11.08 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.540 | $5.23 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.530 | $2.57 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.530 | $10.27 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 19.39 | $0.550 | $10.66 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 21.32 | $0.540 | $11.51 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.540 | $5.23 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.69 | $0.530 | $5.14 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 29.07 | $0.520 | $15.11 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.410 | $1.21 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Japan" or "South Korea" during the announcement on December 22?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Drug" or "Gang" 7+ times during the announcement on December 22?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.210 | $0.09 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Drug" or "Gang" 7+ times during the announcement on December 22?Yes | sell | 8.75 | $0.120 | $1.05 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?No | sell | 9.85 | $0.180 | $1.77 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.400 | $0.95 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Light" or "Electricity" this week? (December 15 - 21)Yes | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "No more questions" in December?Yes | sell | 6.92 | $0.330 | $2.28 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration / Obliterating" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?No | buy | 27 | $0.630 | $17.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 15 - 21)Yes | sell | 24 | $0.900 | $21.6 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | sell | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Border" during Bill Signing on December 12?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during Bill Signing on December 12?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "ICE" during Bill Signing on December 12?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during Bill Signing on December 12?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.590 | $1.47 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "World Cup" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Mental institution" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.320 | $0.42 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | buy | 45 | $0.520 | $23.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?No | buy | 60.03 | $0.980 | $58.83 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.989 | $98.9 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | sell | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | sell | 60 | $0.019 | $1.14 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Thanksgiving" 5+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?No | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |