Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 43% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 5 Dec 2025, the highest close was 43% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 5 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 2.1% on 5 Dec 2025. $3.57K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 6, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 5 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 43.0% |
| 5 Dec 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Puzzyinvader | Yes | 449.13 |
| mrbeo | Yes | 300 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| BIsLosingMoney | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in multilateral events with the presidents of Rwanda and the Congo on December 4, 2025 (https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-rwanda-presidents-sign-peace-deal-washington-next-week-sources-say-2025-11-28/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the President of the Congo or the President of Rwanda (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring Donald Trump and either leader on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
| JosephTucker3530 | Yes | 87 |
| Everythingisscrewed | Yes | 32.61 |
| jnkjuiuijo | Yes | 22.22 |
| S888 | Yes | 20 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 12 |
| daneumeron | Yes | 5 |
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