Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 15.63 | $0.390 | $6.1 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 45.45 |
| $0.060 |
| $2.73 |
| May 13, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 20.51 | $0.300 | $6.15 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 30.24 | $0.420 | $12.7 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 59.42 | $0.118 | $7.01 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.51 | $0.390 | $8 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 59.42 | $0.118 | $7 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 30.25 | $0.331 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.201 | $15.05 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.103 | $5.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.150 | $2.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.590 | $2.88 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?No | sell | 55.15 | $0.124 | $6.85 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on April 17?Yes | sell | 14.84 | $0.194 | $2.88 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 11.6 | $0.230 | $2.67 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp | buy | 37.99 | $0.068 | $2.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 24.5 | $0.180 | $4.41 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 17.55 | $0.150 | $2.63 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.985 | $10.94 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp | sell | 5.63 | $0.990 | $5.57 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp | buy | 5.58 | $0.880 | $4.91 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 23.4 | $0.150 | $3.51 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 8.7 | $0.100 | $0.87 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 14.53 | $0.310 | $4.5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 5.67 | $0.490 | $2.78 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?No | buy | 27.54 | $0.180 | $4.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?No | buy | 12.4 | $0.300 | $3.72 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.288 | $3.46 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on April 17?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.370 | $1.73 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.210 | $0.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.190 | $1.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.720 | $7 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.180 | $7.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.22 | $0.019 | $0.54 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.080 | $3.81 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.42 | $0.710 | $22.31 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.814 | $16.29 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.23 | $0.035 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.700 | $8 | Apr 15, 2026 |