Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 232.16 | $0.700 | $162.51 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes| buy |
| 156.87 |
| $0.829 |
| $130 |
| Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 278.98 | $0.538 | $150 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 327.81 | $0.009 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Trump" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 169.06 | $0.148 | $25 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 559.26 | $0.027 | $15 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 127.8 | $0.047 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 449.32 | $0.045 | $20 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 586.45 | $0.012 | $7 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 769.45 | $0.520 | $400 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 510.05 | $0.588 | $300 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 850.34 | $0.588 | $500 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 681.56 | $0.587 | $400 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 682.63 | $0.586 | $400 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 3K | $0.600 | $1.8K | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | sell | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?Yes | buy | 607.42 | $0.049 | $30 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.066 | $100 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.826 | $1.47K | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.561 | $1K | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 497.1 | $0.961 | $477.71 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 646.18 | $0.967 | $624.68 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.806 | $1K | Jun 19, 2025 |