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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.036 | $5.21 | -$9.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.036 | $15 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 72.86 |
| $0.137 |
| $1.49 |
| -$8.51 |
| buy |
| 66.12 |
| $0.121 |
| $8 |
| Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 10?Yes | buy | 10.4 | $0.096 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 38.61 | $0.259 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | buy | 104.1 | $0.048 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 21.56 | $0.167 | $3.6 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.327 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 56.6 | $0.510 | $28.87 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 72.6 | $0.193 | $14.04 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 72.86 | $0.137 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Aspinall vs. GaneGane | sell | 125 | $0.500 | $62.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Aspinall vs. GaneGane | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Von der Leyen out in 2025?Yes | buy | 120.6 | $0.096 | $11.56 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.494 | $10 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?Yes | buy | 209.17 | $0.024 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.410 | $25 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Grok have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul fight Speed next?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 10.62 | $0.942 | $10 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Gane vs. VolkovGane | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Macron out as president of France in 2024?Yes | buy | 42.93 | $0.070 | $3 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 10.6 | $0.943 | $10 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 22, 2024 |