Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 220 |
| $0.998 |
| $219.56 |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.054 | $5.4 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | sell | 150 | $0.032 | $4.8 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | sell | 69.29 | $0.095 | $6.58 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.066 | $3.3 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran in October?No | buy | 154.31 | $0.320 | $49.38 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Jeremy Hunt next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 345 | $0.002 | $0.78 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 44.66 | $0.351 | $15.68 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 David Cameron next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.003 | $1.08 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 James Cleverly next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 35.08 | $0.003 | $0.11 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Tom Tugendhat next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 175-199 October 11-18?Yes | buy | 36.68 | $0.590 | $21.64 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.070 | $0.75 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 69.29 | $0.079 | $5.47 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.277 | $13.85 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.022 | $0.44 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 25?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.190 | $11.4 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 25?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.079 | $10.27 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 40 | $0.014 | $0.56 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.077 | $3.85 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.597 | $29.85 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 17, 2024 |