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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.47 | $0.954 | $0.46 | +$0.01 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.100 | $3.9 | Jun 26, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.52 |
| $0.314 |
| $0.05 |
| -$0.11 |
| buy |
| 161 |
| $0.220 |
| $35.42 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.300 | $36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.300 | $42.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 28.53 | $0.956 | $27.27 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.954 | $42.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.710 | $33.37 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 85 | $0.500 | $42.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.500 | $42.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.970 | $11.64 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.340 | $12.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.810 | $38.88 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.811 | $38.93 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.490 | $26.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 87 | $0.520 | $45.24 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.920 | $45.08 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.930 | $45.57 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 67 | $0.640 | $42.88 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.988 | $47.42 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.317 | $8.88 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.52 | $0.310 | $6.36 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.560 | $48.16 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.560 | $48.16 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.023 | $2.78 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.023 | $2.78 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.250 | $21.25 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.410 | $34.44 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.961 | $48.05 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.952 | $47.6 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.947 | $17.05 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 19 | $0.934 | $17.75 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 19 | $0.934 | $17.75 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 15 | $0.753 | $11.3 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 23 | $0.751 | $17.27 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 19 | $0.757 | $14.38 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 19 | $0.758 | $14.4 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.970 | $17.46 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.970 | $17.46 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 8 | $0.974 | $7.79 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 8 | $0.970 | $7.76 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 15 | $0.750 | $11.25 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 15 | $0.758 | $11.37 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Reconciliation bill receive 213–214 votes?No | sell | 9 | $0.967 | $8.7 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.909 | $6.36 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.911 | $16.4 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.958 | $14.37 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.029 | $0.35 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.029 | $2.26 | Jul 3, 2025 |