Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6.81 | $0.740 | $6.26 | +$1.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CF Montréal vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 14h ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.38 |
| $0.790 |
| $5.97 |
| +$0.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.07 | $0.850 | $5.25 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.84 | $0.430 | $1.4 | +$0.18 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 2.34 | $0.470 | $1.36 | +$0.26 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 1.57 | $0.700 | $1.28 | +$0.18 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 1.53 | $0.720 | $1.27 | +$0.17 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.09 | -$0.01 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.62 | $0.420 | $1.06 | -$0.04 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 2.97 | $0.370 | $1 | -$0.1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.78 | -$0.54 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 0.36 | $0.530 | $0.34 | +$0.15 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.200 |
| $1 |
| 20h ago |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 20h ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.700 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | sell | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.370 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.720 | $1.1 | 3d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.640 | $1.1 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.470 | $1.1 | 6d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.610 | $1.1 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.1 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.420 | $1.1 | 8d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.710 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.770 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.590 | $3.98 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.761 | $4.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.776 | $4.68 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will General Motors say "SUV" 5+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.640 | $5.07 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.730 | $4.93 | Jul 12, 2026 |