Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.590 | $5.29 | +$2.05 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 43.1 | $0.042 | $1.81 | Feb 25, 2026 |
![]() |
| Yes |
| 93.6 |
| $0.100 |
| $3.6 |
| -$5.76 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 43.1 | $0.042 | $2.39 | +$0.58 |
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | No | 1.4 | $0.940 | $1.38 | +$0.06 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 7.47 | $0.360 | $0.15 | -$2.54 |
| sell |
| 2.38 |
| $0.820 |
| $1.95 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.800 | $1.91 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.974 | $1.63 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50.99 | $0.050 | $2.55 | Feb 13, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.840 | $1.24 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.940 | $1.78 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.160 | $1.03 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.170 | $1.09 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.880 | $1.31 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | sell | 7.23 | $0.160 | $1.16 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | sell | 2.54 | $0.160 | $0.41 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 9.78 | $0.180 | $1.76 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.810 | $1.08 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.57 | $0.240 | $1.1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.58 | $0.260 | $1.19 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.570 | $1.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.590 | $1.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.590 | $1.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.590 | $1.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.810 | $2.58 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.940 | $1.18 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.830 | $1.54 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.580 | $1.95 | Jan 23, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.500 | $1.05 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 262.99 | $0.007 | $1.84 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.117 | $1.04 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.420 | $1.1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | sell | 15.69 | $0.130 | $2.04 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | sell | 2.01 | $0.130 | $0.26 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 34.86 | $0.070 | $2.44 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 3.98 | $0.700 | $2.79 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.14 | $0.070 | $1.13 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.330 | $1.08 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.340 | $1.11 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.330 | $1.08 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.340 | $1.11 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.330 | $1.42 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.340 | $1.46 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.330 | $1.42 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.340 | $1.46 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 17.71 | $0.170 | $3.01 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.610 | $2.06 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 3.64 | $0.330 | $1.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.340 | $1.24 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 19.89 | $0.330 | $6.56 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.99 | $0.710 | $2.83 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 10.26 | $0.330 | $3.39 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.880 | $1.11 | Jan 16, 2026 |