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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 126.58 | $0.790 | $108.23 | +$8.23 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 68.18 |
| $0.440 |
| $34.43 |
| +$4.43 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 359.71 | $0.207 | $23.38 | -$51.22 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 25 | $0.800 | $14.13 | -$5.88 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.28 | $0.470 | $4.79 | -$5.21 |
| buy |
| 30.71 |
| $0.977 |
| $30 |
| 11d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?No | buy | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | 11d ago |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 56.81 | $0.880 | $49.99 | 11d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | 13d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 63.28 | $0.158 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 703.79 | $0.011 | $7.89 | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.078 | $6 | 21d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 57.47 | $0.992 | $57.01 | 21d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 51.85 | $0.231 | $12 | 21d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 202.87 | $0.064 | $13 | 21d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | 22d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 31.45 | $0.159 | $5 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 42.86 | $0.880 | $37.72 | 23d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 42.85 | $0.770 | $32.99 | 29d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 43.4 | $0.530 | $23 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes | sell | 99.27 | $0.999 | $99.17 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | buy | 35.27 | $0.851 | $30 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.870 | $15 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.220 | $8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 26.6 | $0.940 | $25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 26.88 | $0.930 | $25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 11.35 | $0.737 | $8.37 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 54.64 | $0.183 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 9.73 | $0.790 | $7.69 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 45.83 | $0.960 | $44 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes | buy | 99.27 | $0.967 | $96 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 106.38 | $0.998 | $106.17 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 20.65 | $0.920 | $19 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 34.41 | $0.959 | $33 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jun 24, 2026 |